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Information from NOAA Storm Prediction Center at this website

More SPC info on this site: 

SPC Day 4-8 Outlook

Updates are issued at 400 am CST/CDT (0900/1000 UTC) - Current UTC time: Mar 3 2026 5:24 am


 

Day 1
D4Friday Mar 6 2026 - Saturday Mar 7 2026 D7Monday Mar 9 2026 - Tuesday Mar 10 2026
D5Saturday Mar 7 2026 - Sunday Mar 8 2026 D8Tuesday Mar 10 2026 - Wednesday Mar 11 2026
D6Sunday Mar 8 2026 - Monday Mar 9 2026 (All days are valid from 12 UTC - 12 UTC)
PREDICTABILITY TOO LOW is used to indicate severe storms may be possible based on some model scenarios. However, the location or occurrence of severe storms are in doubt due to:
1) large differences in the deterministic model solutions,
2) large spread in the ensemble guidance, and/or
3) minimal run-to-run continuity.

POTENTIAL TOO LOW means the threat for a regional area of organized severe storms appears highly unlikely during the entire period (e.g. less than a 30% probability for a regional severe storm area across the CONUS through the entire Day 4-8 period). 
        



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Day 2

Day 3

Largly based on original scripts from Ken True: saratoga-weather.org and Rick Curly: ricksturf.com

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